Posted by Rob Minton
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By now, you've probably heard plenty about the swine flu. The news is everywhere. Maybe you hadn't heard of the swine flu before this outbreak, or maybe, if you're old enough, you remember 1976.
I was around in 1976, but too young to pay much attention to what was in the news. At that age, I was more concerned with riding my bike, making that transition from kindergarten to first grade, and managing my rental properties. Just kidding. I didn't start investing in properties THAT early.
Anyway, since I was too young to remember it, I have read quite a bit lately about the supposed swine flu pandemic of 1976. A soldier in New Jersey died as a result of it, and the flu had spread to other soldiers on his base. Fearing a situation like the 1918 pandemic that killed as many 50 million people all over the world, the U.S. government convinced drug manufacturers to rush out a vaccine as part of a campaign to vaccinate the entire U.S. population.
A hoky pair of public service announcements from the government's 1976 vaccination campaign can be seen here:
Well, the pandemic in 1976 never materialized. The predicition that millions of U.S. citizens would die was way off, as it appears the soldier whose death sparked the whole uproar was the only fatality confirmed to be a result of the swine flu.
Meanwhile, evidence suggests the vaccine itself caused health problems in many Americans, including a nervous-system disorder that can cause paralysis and death. The government abrubtly halted the program.
I'm no doctor, no scientist, so I am not telling you not to pay attention to your health. I am just pointing out that the government's reaction in 1976 might have been an OVERreaction. And now, 33 years later, swine flu is causing some overreaction again.
In Egypt yesterday, an order was given to kill every single pig in the country. This is despite the fact that A.) There are no confirmed cases of the disease in Egypt; and B.) the flu is transmitted human-to-human -- YOU CAN'T GET IT FROM PIGS.
Unfortunately, human nature is prone to such overreactions. Take our current economic conditions, for example.
Recession hits and people stop spending money, hurting the economy more. People see their 401k plans dropping in value, and they yank all their money -- taking the losses -- and stick it in a savings account that earns 1% interest. Real estate drops in value and so they swear they are never going to buy a house again.
I am guilty of financial overreaction in my own past. After the dotcom stock market bust, I swore off investing in the securities markets ever again. It took me years to realize that this was a mistake, and it cost me a ton of money. I'm telling you this because I don't want it to happen to you.
You can't simply dump everything, cancel your wealth-building plans, simply because of one seemingly catastrophic event. You can't let your emotions take over reason. You can't let the recession make you give up.
You can't kill the pigs.
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